League One Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Rotherham
  • T. Shade 23' goal
  • T. Vancooten 54' yellowcard
  • Andy Cannon 69' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rafferty 16'
  • yellowcard J. Rafferty 16'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 36'
  • yellowcard Zak Jules 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Marvin Kaleta 46'
  • yellowcard M. Kaleta 46'
  • yellowcard Duncan Watmore 69'
  • yellowcard Lino Sousa 85'

Burton Albion vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
Port Vale 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Rotherham 0 - 3 Cardiff
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 39.75% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 25.21% ▲ (+0.20)
Rotherham United 35.07% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.42% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.63% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 23.37% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 53.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.35% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 68.65% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 17.92% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 82.08% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 31.18% ▼ (-1.08)
Draw 42.78% ▼ (-0.22)
Rotherham United 26.04% ▲ (+1.31)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 51.6% ▲ (+0.36)
No Goal 6.26% ▲ (+0.14)
Rotherham United 42.14% ▼ (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 62.1% ▲ (+1.33)
Equal 8 11.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 26.76% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 9 50.33% ▲ (+1.27)
Equal 9 11.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 37.9% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 10.5 38.97% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 10.5 61.03% ▼ (-1.11)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 40.31% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 59.69% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 17.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 82.7% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 69.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.18% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 62.82% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 15.28% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.72% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.39% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.61% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 39.75%
Draw 25.21%
Rotherham United 35.07%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 39.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 25.21%
Rotherham United
1-2 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 35.07%

Head to Head

League One
Rotherham
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Toby Sibbick 69' goal
  • Hamish Douglas 90'+4' goal
  • goal K. Lofthouse 51'
  • goal T. Shade 63'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 69'
  • yellowcard T. Shade 76'
  • yellowcard Brad Collins 84'
League One Gameweek 28
Burton Albion
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Rotherham
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 8' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 27' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 39' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 41' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 47' goal
  • Jack Armer 67' yellowcard
  • goal Louie Sibley 2'
  • goal Andre Green 61'
League One Gameweek 6
Rotherham
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 39' goal
  • C 57' goal
  • Hakeem Odofin 74' yellowcard
  • goal Danilo Orsi 25'
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 54'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 71'
League One Gameweek 44
Burton Albion
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Rotherham
  • Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 3' goal
  • Williams Kokolo 45' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 69' goal
  • Tom Hamer 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 52'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 68'
League One Gameweek 22
Rotherham
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Burton Albion
  • Freddie Ladapo 24' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 48' goal
  • Dan Barlaser 84' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 44'
  • yellowcard Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 31
Rotherham
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Michael Smith 9' goal
  • Michael Smith 46' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 71' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 93' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 7'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sarkic 32'
  • goal Oliver Sarkic 47'

Form Data

Burton Albion 0 - 1 West Ham
Port Vale 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Doncaster
Burton Albion 2 - 2 Cardiff
Bolton 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Lincoln 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Rotherham 0 - 3 Cardiff
Exeter 0 - 4 Rotherham
Rotherham 2 - 1 Northampton
Rotherham 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Stockport 3 - 2 Rotherham
Huddersfield 3 - 0 Rotherham