League One
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Tyrese Shade 23' goal
  • T. Shade 23' goal
  • Andy Cannon 69' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rafferty 16'
  • yellowcard J. Rafferty 16'
  • yellowcard Marvin Kaleta 46'
  • yellowcard M. Kaleta 46'
  • yellowcard Duncan Watmore 69'
  • yellowcard Lino Sousa 85'

Burton Albion vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
Port Vale 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Rotherham 0 - 3 Cardiff
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
S. Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 39.75% (-0.43)
Draw 25.21% (+0.20)
Rotherham United 35.07% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.42% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.63% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 23.37% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 53.27% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.73% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.35% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 68.65% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 17.92% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 82.08% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 31.18% (-1.08)
Draw 42.78% (-0.22)
Rotherham United 26.04% (+1.31)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 51.6% (+0.36)
No Goal 6.26% (+0.14)
Rotherham United 42.14% (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 62.1% (+1.33)
Equal 8 11.15% (-0.08)
Under 8 26.76% (-1.25)
Over 9 50.33% (+1.27)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.05)
Under 9 37.9% (-1.33)
Over 10.5 38.97% (+1.11)
Under 10.5 61.03% (-1.11)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 40.31% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 59.69% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 17.3% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 82.7% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.7% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.3% (-0.08)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 69.69% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.31% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.18% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 62.82% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 15.28% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.72% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 5.39% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.61% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 39.75%
Draw 25.21%
Rotherham United 35.07%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.08)
Other @ 5.56% (+0.02)
Total : 39.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.26% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.59% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.07)
Total : 25.21%
Rotherham United
1-2 @ 8.13% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.9% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.28% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.69% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.25% (+0.08)
Total : 35.07%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 8' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 27' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 39' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 41' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 47' goal
  • Jack Armer 67' yellowcard
  • goal Louie Sibley 2'
  • goal Andre Green 61'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 39' goal
  • C 57' goal
  • Hakeem Odofin 74' yellowcard
  • goal Danilo Orsi 25'
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 54'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 71'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 3' goal
  • Williams Kokolo 45' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 69' goal
  • Tom Hamer 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 52'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 68'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Freddie Ladapo 24' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 48' goal
  • Dan Barlaser 84' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 44'
  • yellowcard Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Smith 9' goal
  • Michael Smith 46' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 71' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 93' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 7'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sarkic 32'
  • goal Oliver Sarkic 47'