League One Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
Port Vale 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Tyrese Shade

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Rotherham 0 - 3 Cardiff
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 34.8% and a draw has a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result

Burton Albion 40.21% (-1.22)
Draw 25.02% (+0.52)
Rotherham United 34.8% (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.37% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.9% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 23.1% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 53.31% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 46.69% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 31.16% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 68.84% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 17.7% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 82.3% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 31.55% (-0.49)
Draw 42.95% (-0.47)
Rotherham United 25.5% (+0.97)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 51.33% (-0.92)
No Goal 6.11% (+0.21)
Rotherham United 42.56% (+0.71)

Corners

Over 8 60.7% (+0.88)
Equal 8 11.24% (-0.11)
Under 8 28.06% (-0.77)
Over 9 48.98% (+0.91)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.04)
Under 9 39.3% (-0.88)
Over 10.5 37.78% (+0.86)
Under 10.5 62.22% (-0.86)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 40.56% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 59.44% (+1.25)
Over 2.5 17.43% (-0.54)
Under 2.5 82.57% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 5.62% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 94.38% (+0.43)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 69.69% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 30.31% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 36.82% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 63.18% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 15.01% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 84.99% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 5.23% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 94.77% (-0.39)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 40.21%
Draw 25.02%
Rotherham United 34.81%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.19% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.55% (-0.47)
Total : 40.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 6.11% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.05)
Total : 25.02%
Rotherham United
1-2 @ 8.07% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.84% (+0.44)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.57% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.15)
Other @ 5.16% (+0.34)
Total : 34.81%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 8' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 27' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 39' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 41' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 47' goal
  • Jack Armer 67' yellowcard
  • goal Louie Sibley 2'
  • goal Andre Green 61'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 39' goal
  • C 57' goal
  • Hakeem Odofin 74' yellowcard
  • goal Danilo Orsi 25'
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 54'
  • goal Jack Cooper Love 71'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 3' goal
  • Williams Kokolo 45' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 69' goal
  • Tom Hamer 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 52'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 68'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Freddie Ladapo 24' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 48' goal
  • Dan Barlaser 84' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 44'
  • yellowcard Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Smith 9' goal
  • Michael Smith 46' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 71' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 93' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 7'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sarkic 32'
  • goal Oliver Sarkic 47'