FA Cup
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
ET Vale Park
  • Andre Gray 63' yellowcard
  • Jaheim Headley 63' yellowcard
  • Kyle John 64' yellowcard
  • Onel Lázaro Hernández Mayea 80' yellowcard
  • Grant Ward 82' yellowcard
  • E. Campbell 98' yellowcard
  • Ben Waine 112' goal
  • yellowcard George Tanner 46'
  • yellowcard Tomi Horvat 61'
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 61'
  • yellowcard Emil Riis 78'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 85'
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 95'

Port Vale vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Bristol City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 36.62% (+0.22)
Draw 27.55% (-0.09)
Bristol City 35.83% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.68% (+0.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.84% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 30.16% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 44.17% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 55.83% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 23.23% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 76.77% (-0.65)
Over 4.5 12.13% (+0.37)
Under 4.5 87.87% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 29.4% (-0.02)
Draw 43.67% (-0.01)
Bristol City 26.94% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 46.18% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.81% (+0.01)
Bristol City 45.01% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 57.97% (-1.97)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.21)
Under 8 30.41% (+1.77)
Over 9 46.1% (-2.01)
Equal 9 11.86% (+0.03)
Under 9 42.03% (+1.97)
Over 10.5 35.01% (-1.89)
Under 10.5 64.99% (+1.88)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 33.45% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 66.55% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 12.47% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 87.53% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 3.76% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 96.24% (-0.29)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 67.69% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 32.31% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 32.95% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 67.05% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 11.97% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 88.03% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 3.62% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.38% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Port Vale 36.62%
Draw 27.56%
Bristol City 35.83%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.27)
2-1 @ 7.86% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 6.34% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 3.22% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.75% (+0.32)
Total : 36.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.30)
0-0 @ 8.81% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.28)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 27.56%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 10.59% (-0.18)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.61% (+0.19)
Total : 35.83%

Head to Head

League One
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 34' goal
  • Joe Bryan 59' goal
  • Matt Smith 67' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Birchall 37'
  • goal Mark Marshall 77'
League One
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Richard Duffy 13' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 13'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 17'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wilbraham 45'
  • goal Aden Flint 48'
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 61'
League One
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 16' goal
  • Nyron Nosworthy 41' goal
  • Sam Baldock 45' goal
  • Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 45' goal
  • Sam Baldock 74' goal
  • Wade Elliot 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Grimmer 45'
  • yellowcard Ryan Dickson 67'
  • redcard Ryan Dickson 67'
League One
Oct 5, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Birchall 32' yellowcard
  • Liam Chilvers 70' yellowcard
  • Doug Loft 82' yellowcard
  • Lee Hughes 90' goal
  • goal Scott Wagstaff 55'
  • yellowcard Brendan Moloney 59'
League One
Dec 30, 2006 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Louis Carey 49' yellowcard
  • Stephen Brooker 69' goal
  • Scott Murray 76' goal
  • yellowcard Robin Hulbert 64'
  • goal Jeff Smith 68'
League One
Sep 23, 2006 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Richard Keogh 5'
  • yellowcard Jamie McAllister 11'
  • goal Scott Brown 45'
  • goal Phil Jevons 76'