Championship
Jan 30, 2026 8.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • Neto Borges 46' yellowcard
  • Sinclair Armstrong 46' yellowcard
  • Delano Burgzorg 63' yellowcard
  • Sam Morsy 74' yellowcard
  • goal Rhian Brewster 13'
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 16'
  • goal Ben Brereton Díaz 16'
  • goal Bobby Clark 36'
  • yellowcard Oscar Fraulo 60'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 66'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 68'
  • yellowcard Jaydon Banel 70'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 71'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 71'
  • yellowcard Owen Eames 78'
  • yellowcard Andreas Weimann 78'
  • goal Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 88'
  • goal Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 88'

Bristol City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 2 - 0 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 8.00pm
Derby 1 - 1 West Brom
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result

Bristol City 47.4% (-0.07)
Draw 25.03%
Derby County 27.58% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.93% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 25.07% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.37% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 49.63% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 27.78% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 72.22% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.45% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.55% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 39.11%
Draw 42.56% (+0.03)
Derby County 18.34% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Bristol City 61.77% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.81% (-0.02)
Derby County 31.42%

Corners

Over 8 58.6%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 30.07%
Over 9 46.98%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 41.4%
Over 10.5 36.04%
Under 10.5 63.96%

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 44.58%
Under 1.5 55.42%
Over 2.5 19.52% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 80.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.74% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.26% (-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 62.53% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 37.47% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.19% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 70.81% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 10.44% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 89.56% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.15% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.85% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Bristol City 47.4%
Draw 25.02%
Derby County 27.58%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 6.68%
Total : 47.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 25.02%
Derby County
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.09% (+0.05)
Total : 27.58%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 22, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Luke McNally 19' goal
  • Anis Mehmeti 28' yellowcard
  • Ross McCrorie 35' yellowcard
  • Haydon Roberts 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Thompson 45'+2'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 28' goal
  • Kayden Jackson 60' goal
  • Ryan Nyambe 76' yellowcard
  • David Ozoh 89' goal
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nathan Byrne 54' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 61' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 9'
  • goal Andreas Weimann 10'
  • yellowcard Ayman Benarous 16'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 38'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 63'
  • goal Timm Klose 79'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Scott 16' goal
  • Tyreeq Bakinson 39' yellowcard
  • Tomas Kalas 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Cameron Pring 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 39'
  • yellowcard Craig Forsyth 40'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 4' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 54'