Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).