/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fchalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
-
Harry Clarke
46'
-
Ibrahim Fullah
46'
-
I. Fullah
46'
-
Tyreece Campbell
67'
-
Charlie Kelman
72'
-
Luke Berry
86'
-
Matt Godden
87'
-
Matty Godden
87'
-
Macaulay Gillesphey
17'
(OG)
-
Rhian Brewster
59'
-
Lewis Travis
59'
-
Bobby Clark
60'
-
Oscar Fraulo
76'
-
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
76'
-
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
76'
-
Callum Elder
89'
Charlton Athletic vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fnathan-jones-charlton-athletic-focus-images-696c2df388594111697002.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result
Charlton Athletic
38.5%
Draw
27.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Derby County
34.43%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
51.4%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.14%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
28.86%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
44.94%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
55.06%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
23.77%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
76.23%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
12.21%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
87.79%
▲
(+0.18)
First Half Winner
Charlton Athletic
28.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
45.82%
▼
(-0.04)
Derby County
25.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Charlton Athletic
46.66%
▼
(-0.84)
No Goal
8.15%
▲
(+0.06)
Derby County
45.19%
▲
(+0.79)
Corners
Over 8
60.01%
▲
(+2.22)
Equal 8
11.39%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 8
28.6%
▼
(-2.27)
Over 9
48.18%
▲
(+1.93)
Equal 9
11.82%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 9
39.99%
▼
(-2.22)
Over 10.5
36.95%
▲
(+1.50)
Under 10.5
63.05%
▼
(-1.50)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 1.5
35.58%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
64.42%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
13.48%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
86.52%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
4.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
95.82%
▲
(+0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
67.3%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
32.7%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
32.16%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
67.84%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
11.08%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
88.92%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
3.07%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
96.93%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Charlton Athletic
38.51%
Draw
27.07%
Derby County
34.42%
Charlton Athletic
1-0
@
10.59%
▼
(-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.51%
2-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.51%
Draw
1-1
@
13.27%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.07%
0-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.07%
Derby County
0-1
@
10.12%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 34.42%
1-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 34.42%
