Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale
  • Thierry Small 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jebbison 67' yellowcard
  • Pol Valentín 68' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 79' yellowcard
  • Jordan Andrew Thompson 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Fraulo 72'
  • yellowcard Liam Thompson 73'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 82'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 89'
  • yellowcard Andreas Weimann 89'

Preston North End vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 2 Preston
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lewis Dobbin

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 2 Wrexham
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 30.28% and a draw has a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.3%).

Result

Preston North End 42.1% (+0.07)
Draw 27.58%
Derby County 30.28% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.92% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.52% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 31.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.38%
Under 2.5 57.62%
Over 3.5 21.6% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 78.4% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.87% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.13% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Preston North End 32.47%
Draw 46.04%
Derby County 21.49%

Team To Score First

Preston North End 53.11%
No Goal 9.23%
Derby County 37.66%

Corners

Over 8 56.14%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 32.29%
Over 9 44.5%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 43.86%
Over 10.5 33.74%
Under 10.5 66.26%

Preston North End Goals

Over 1.5 36.85% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.15% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.36% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.33%
Under 3.5 95.67%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 63.51% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 36.49% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 27.21% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.79% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 8.36% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 91.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.14% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.86% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Preston North End 42.11%
Draw 27.58%
Derby County 30.27%
Preston North End
1-0 @ 11.88% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.73% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 42.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.58%
Derby County
0-1 @ 10.33% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.13% (-0.03)
Total : 30.27%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Liam Thompson 15' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 48' goal
  • Jerry Yates 52' goal
  • yellowcard Robbie Brady 72'
  • yellowcard Mads Frokjaer-Jensen 90'
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Deepdale
  • Sam Greenwood 23' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 62' yellowcard
  • Ali McCann 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 29'
  • yellowcard Liam Thompson 58'
  • yellowcard Marcus Harness 90'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Max Bird 55' redcard
  • Curtis Davies 66' yellowcard
  • Ravel Morrison 80' goal
  • Jason Knight 84' yellowcard
  • redcard Liam Lindsay 32'
  • yellowcard Ben Whiteman 61'
  • yellowcard Daniel Johnson 87'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Johnson 5' yellowcard
  • Jordan Storey 62' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Deepdale
  • Ben Whiteman 18' goal
  • Ched Evans 73' goal
  • Ryan Ledson 87' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 86'