Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.