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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
| 48.01% | 24.82% | 27.17% |
| Both teams to score 54.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% | 48.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% | 70.48% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% | 20.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.53% | 52.47% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% | 31.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% | 68.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.35% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.17% |