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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 49.6% | 25.01% | 25.39% |
| Both teams to score 52.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% | 50.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% | 72.35% |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% | 20.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.26% | 52.74% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% | 34.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% | 71.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.39% |