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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 43.95% | 26.72% | 29.33% |
| Both teams to score 49.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% | 54.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% | 76.11% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% | 24.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% | 59.35% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% | 33.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.66% | 70.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.33% |