Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Stoke logo
Championship
Dec 13, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
 
Swansea logo

2-1

Pearson (42'), Thomas (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vipotnik (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Next Game: Watford vs. Stoke
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Next Game: Swansea vs. Wrexham
Friday, December 19 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
43.95%26.72%29.33%
Both teams to score 49.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19%54.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89%76.11%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65%59.35%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66%70.34%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 43.95%
    Swansea City 29.33%
    Draw 26.72%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.33%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
gameweek 33
Stoke
3-1
Swansea
Burger (64'), Bae (73'), Baker (90+3')
Pearson (41'), Baker (78'), Moran (85'), Moran (85')
Tymon (61')
Cabango (63')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
gameweek 9
Swansea
0-0
Stoke
Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')