Championship
Stoke
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Swansea
  • Sorba Thomas 27' yellowcard
  • Ben Pearson 42' goal
  • Ben Pearson 44' yellowcard
  • Sorba Thomas 60' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 17'
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenic 53'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 55'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 57'
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 77'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 90'+2'

Stoke City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 7.45pm
Ipswich 1 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm
Swansea 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 43.95%
Draw 26.72%
Swansea City 29.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.19%
Under 2.5 54.81%
Over 3.5 23.89%
Under 3.5 76.11%
Over 4.5 10.66%
Under 4.5 89.34%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 75.22%
Under 0.5 24.78%
Over 1.5 40.65%
Under 1.5 59.35%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 66.32%
Under 0.5 33.68%
Over 1.5 29.66%
Under 1.5 70.34%

Score analysis

Stoke City 43.95%
Draw 26.72%
Swansea City 29.33%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.72%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.33%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 33
Stoke
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Swansea
  • Ben Pearson 41' yellowcard
  • Wouter Burger 64' goal
  • Joon-Ho Bae 73' goal
  • Lewis Baker 78' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 85' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 85' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 90'+3' goal
  • goal Josh Tymon 61'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 63'
Championship Gameweek 9
Swansea
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 14'
  • yellowcard Andy Moran 63'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 90'+10'
Championship Gameweek 42
Swansea
Apr 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke
  • Liam Cullen 19' goal
  • Jamie Paterson 43' yellowcard
  • Matt Grimes 53' goal
  • Harry Darling 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 67' yellowcard
  • Josh Key 73' goal
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 38'
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 61'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 90'
Championship Gameweek 21
Stoke
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Swansea
  • Josh Laurent 38' yellowcard
  • Lynden Gooch 42' yellowcard
  • Daniel Johnson 70' goal
  • Ben Pearson 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 41'
  • yellowcard Yannick Bolasie 84'
  • goal Harry Darling 89'
Championship Gameweek 29
Swansea
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke
  • Morgan Whittaker 2' goal
  • goal Josh Laurent 15'
  • goal Josh Laurent 20'
  • goal Lewis Baker 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 7
Stoke
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Swansea
  • Tyrese Campbell 90'+1' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 6'

Form Data

Ipswich 1 - 0 Stoke
Sheff Utd 4 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 1 - 2 Hull City
Stoke 3 - 0 Charlton
Leicester 2 - 1 Stoke
Stoke 0 - 1 Coventry
Swansea 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Swansea 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
West Brom 3 - 2 Swansea
Swansea 1 - 2 Derby
Bristol City 3 - 0 Swansea
Swansea 1 - 4 Ipswich