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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 47.31% | 25.55% | 27.14% |
| Both teams to score 52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% | 51.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% | 21.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% | 54.89% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% | 33.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% | 70.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.14% |