Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.