Championship

Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK

Watford
1-0
Stoke Stoke City

Kjerrumgaard (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: Leicester vs. Watford
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: Stoke vs. Preston
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Stoke City
51.17% ( -0.09)	23.78% ( 0.03)	25.05% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47% (

-0.09)

45.53% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.14% (

-0.08)

67.86% (

0.08)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.17% (

-0.07)

17.82% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.44% (

-0.12)

48.56% (

0.11)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87% (

32.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39% (

68.61% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Watford 51.17%

Stoke City 25.05%

Draw 23.78%

Watford	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.17%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.05%