Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Vivaldo Semedo 66'
Matthew Pollock 69'
Luca Kjerrumgaard 74'
Nestory Irankunda 89'

Robert Bozenik 30'
Sorba Thomas 59'
Maksym Talovierov 83'

Watford vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Watford vs Stoke - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Watford vs Stoke - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 18 Dec 2025 12:45

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

D
D
W
L
D
W

Championship

D
D
W
L
D
W

Last game

Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm

Wrexham 2 - 2 Watford

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Luca Kjerrumgaard

Stoke City

All competitions

W
L
L
L
W
L

Championship

W
L
L
L
W
L

Last game

Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm

Stoke 2 - 1 Swansea

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Sorba Thomas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Watford 51.17% ▼ (-0.10)

Draw 23.78% ▲ (+0.03)

Stoke City 25.05% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

55.77% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.47% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 2.5 45.53% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 3.5 32.14% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 3.5 67.86% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 4.5 16.18% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 4.5 83.82% ▲ (+0.06)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 82.17% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 17.82% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 1.5 51.44% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 1.5 48.56% ▲ (+0.12)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 67.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 32.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 31.39% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 68.61% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Watford 51.17%

Draw 23.78%

Stoke City 25.05%

Watford

1-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)

4-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)

4-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 3.62%

Total : 51.17%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.21% ▲ (+0.03)

0-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.03)

2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.16%

Total : 23.78%

Stoke City

0-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.03)

1-2 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.61%

Total : 25.05%

Head to Head

Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Bet365 Stadium

Ben Pearson 33'

Imran Louza 33'
Giorgi Chakvetadze 69'

Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Vicarage Road

Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31'
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31'
Edo Kayembe 47'
Edo Kayembe 47'
Ryan Andrews 49'
Ryan Andrews 49'
Edo Kayembe 73'
Edo Kayembe 73'
Francisco Sierralta 88'
Francisco Sierralta 88'

Jordan Thompson 55'
Jordan Thompson 55'
Josh Laurent 90'
Josh Laurent 90'

Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Vicarage Road

Jake Livermore 15'
Valerien Ismael 15'
Ismael Kone 42'
Jake Livermore 45'+4'
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 52'
Giorgi Chakvetadze 72'
James Morris 80'

Junior Tchamadeu 14'
Ryan Mmaee 34'

Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Bet365 Stadium

Luke McNally 29'
Luke McNally 29'
Wesley 52'
Andre Vidigal 53'
Jordan Thompson 77'
Daniel Johnson 83'

Ismael Kone 60'

May 8, 2023 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Vicarage Road

Imran Louza 70'
Keinan Davis 74'

Oct 2, 2022 12.00pm

0

4

HT : 0 1

FT Bet365 Stadium

Ismaila Sarr 12'
Ken Sema 64'
Keinan Davis 78'
Vakoun Issouf Bayo 84'

Form Data

Wrexham 2 - 2 Watford

Watford 1 - 1 Sheff Weds

Watford 3 - 2 Norwich

Birmingham 2 - 1 Watford

Watford 1 - 1 Preston

Derby 2 - 3 Watford

Stoke 2 - 1 Swansea

Ipswich 1 - 0 Stoke

Sheff Utd 4 - 0 Stoke

Stoke 1 - 2 Hull City

Stoke 3 - 0 Charlton

Leicester 2 - 1 Stoke