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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Watford |
| 48.92% | 25.03% | 26.05% |
| Both teams to score 52.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% | 49.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% | 71.97% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% | 20.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% | 52.92% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% | 33.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% | 70.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.05% |