Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (9.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.