Championship

Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Leicester Leicester City
2-1
Derby Derby County

Reid (6'), James (41')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Brewster (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Derby
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Next Game: Sheff Utd vs. Leicester
Thursday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Derby
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Next Game: Derby vs. Middlesbrough
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Derby County
42.15% ( -0.19)	25.69% ( 0.06)	32.16% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42% (

-0.21)

49.57% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

-0.19)

71.6% (

0.19)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-0.18)

23.36% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-0.27)

57.33% (

0.27)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

-0.02)

29.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08% (

-0.03)

64.92% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 42.15%

Derby County 32.16%

Draw 25.68%

Leicester City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.15%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.16%