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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Derby County |
| 44.42% | 25.62% | 29.96% |
| Both teams to score 53.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% | 50.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% | 22.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% | 56.08% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.96% |