/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Bobby Reid
6'
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Jordan James
41'
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Jordan James
83'
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Rhian Brewster
9'
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Kayden Jackson
90'+6'
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Liam Thompson
90'+6'
Leicester City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result
Leicester City
42.15%
▼
(-0.20)
Draw
25.69%
▲
(+0.07)
Derby County
32.16%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
54.4%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.42%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
49.57%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
28.4%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
71.6%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
13.58%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
86.42%
▲
(+0.14)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5
76.64%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
23.36%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
42.67%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
57.33%
▲
(+0.28)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
70.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
29.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
35.08%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
64.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Leicester City
42.15%
Draw
25.68%
Derby County
32.16%
Leicester City
1-0
@
9.86%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 42.15%
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 42.15%
Draw
1-1
@
12.19%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
Derby County
0-1
@
8.39%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 32.16%
1-2 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 32.16%