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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Derby logo

vs.

Coverage of the Championship clash between Leicester City and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 4-1 Leicester
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Leicester vs. Watford
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Birmingham vs. Derby
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Top scorers
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result
Leicester CityDrawDerby County
44.42%25.62%29.96%
Both teams to score 53.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87%50.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9%72.1%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48%22.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92%56.08%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93%67.07%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 44.41%
    Derby County 29.96%
    Draw 25.61%
Leicester CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.17%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.96%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
Derby
1-3
Leicester
Langas (63')
Adams (22'), Langas (24'), Thompson (77')
Reid (8'), Skipp (15'), James (31')
Vestergaard (19'), Reid (64')
Jul 23, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
1-3
Leicester
Iheanacho (55'), Daka (79'), Wright (87')
Feb 8, 2017 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Leicester
3-1
Derby
King (46'), Ndidi (94'), Gray (113')
Mendy (9'), Musa (84')
Camara (61')
Christie (5')
Jan 27, 2017 7.55pm
Fourth Round
Derby
2-2
Leicester
Bent (21'), Bryson (40')
Pearce (55')
Bent (8' og.), Morgan (86')
Jan 10, 2014 7.45pm
Leicester
4-1
Derby
De Laet (25'), Nugent (48', 60' pen.), Vardy (64')
De Laet (59' og.)
Bryson (78')