Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.