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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
| 43.11% ( | 24.8% ( | 32.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( | 45.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% | 21.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( | 54.17% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( | 27.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( | 62.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.08% |