Championship Gameweek 23
Leicester
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT King Power Stadium
Watford
  • Jordan James 7' goal
  • Abdul Fatawu 19' yellowcard
  • Issahaku Fatawu 19' yellowcard
  • Oliver Skipp 42' yellowcard
  • Stephy Mavididi 63' yellowcard
  • goal Othmane Maamma 45'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 48'
  • yellowcard Imrân Louza 48'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 61'
  • goal Matthew Pollock 65'
  • goal Mattie Pollock 65'

Leicester City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
QPR 4 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Jordan James

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Watford 1 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Leicester City 43.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Watford 32.08% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.35% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.95% ▲ (+0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 78.75%
Under 0.5 21.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.17%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 72.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 37.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Leicester City 43.11%
Draw 24.8%
Watford 32.08%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 43.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.8%
Watford
1-2 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.08%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 31
Watford
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
Leicester
  • Emmanuel Dennis 63' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 75' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Patson Daka 11'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 37'
  • yellowcard Ben Nelson 45'+5'
  • goal Ricardo Pereira 55'
  • yellowcard Jamie Vardy 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 17
Leicester
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Power Stadium
Watford
  • Wilfred Ndidi 62' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 68' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 76' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 30'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 30'
  • yellowcard Valerien Ismael 31'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 54'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 72'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 75'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bachmann 83'
  • yellowcard Yaser Asprilla 90'
  • redcard Daniel Bachmann 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Watford
May 15, 2022 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT
Leicester
  • Joao Pedro 6' goal
  • goal James Maddison 18'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 22'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 46'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 55'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 70'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 86'
FA Cup
Leicester
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT King Power Stadium
Watford
  • Youri Tielemans 7' goal
  • James Maddison 25' goal
  • Vontae Daley-Campbell 36' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 54' goal
  • Marc Albrighton 85' goal
  • goal Joao Pedro 27'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Leicester
Nov 28, 2021 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Watford
  • James Maddison 16' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 34' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 42' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 68' goal
  • goal Joshua King 30'
  • goal Emmanuel Dennis 61'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Watford
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
Leicester
  • Craig Dawson 90'+3' goal
  • redcard Youri Tielemans 40'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 40'
  • goal Ben Chilwell 90'

Form Data

QPR 4 - 1 Leicester
Leicester 3 - 1 Ipswich
Bristol City 2 - 2 Leicester
Derby 1 - 3 Leicester
Leicester 2 - 3 Sheff Utd
Southampton 3 - 0 Leicester
Watford 1 - 0 Stoke
Wrexham 2 - 2 Watford
Watford 1 - 1 Sheff Weds
Watford 3 - 2 Norwich
Birmingham 2 - 1 Watford
Watford 1 - 1 Preston