Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.