Championship

Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK

Derby Derby County
1-1
Portsmouth

Matthews (45' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lang (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: Birmingham vs. Derby
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

" alt="" width="39" height="39" class="vanilla-lazy" />

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: Portsmouth vs. QPR
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.34% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%) , while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
45.92% ( -0.07)	27.34% ( -0.03)	26.74% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.65% (

0.15)

58.35% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04% (

0.12)

78.96% (

-0.12)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.03)

25.39% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

0.04)

60.19% (

-0.05)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

0.16)

37.66% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56% (

0.16)

74.43% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Derby County 45.91%

Portsmouth 26.74%

Draw 27.34%

Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.74%