Championship
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rhian Brewster 44' yellowcard
  • Hayden Matthews 45' goal
  • goal Callum Lang 6'
  • yellowcard Andre Dozzell 42'

Derby County vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2025 8.00pm
Sheff Weds 0 - 3 Derby
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Portsmouth 2 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Terry Devlin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.34% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%) , while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 45.92% (-0.08)
Draw 27.34% (-0.03)
Portsmouth 26.74% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.65% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 58.35% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 21.04% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 78.96% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 8.94% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 91.06% (-0.08)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 74.61% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.39% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.81% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.19% (-0.05)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 62.34% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 37.66% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 25.56% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 74.43% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Derby County 45.91%
Draw 27.34%
Portsmouth 26.74%
Derby County
1-0 @ 13.1% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 45.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.34%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.56% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.74%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Zak Swanson 27' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 33' yellowcard
  • Christian Saydee 68' yellowcard
  • Colby Bishop 69' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 71' goal
  • Rob Atkinson 80' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Widell Zetterstrom 6'
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 21'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 34'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 57'
  • goal Jerry Yates 70'
  • goal Rob Atkinson 75' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2024 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Kane Wilson 8' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 23' goal
  • Ebou Adams 29' goal
  • Marlon Pack 65' goal
  • yellowcard Tom McIntyre 84'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Fratton Park
  • Patrick Lane 20' yellowcard
  • Abu Kamara 27' goal
  • Connor Ogilvie 72' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 77' goal
  • goal Joe Ward 23'
  • goal Joe Ward 35'
  • yellowcard James Collins 43'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Tyrese Fornah 26' yellowcard
  • James Collins 86' goal
  • James Collins 88' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Pack 10'
  • yellowcard Regan Poole 28'
  • yellowcard Alex Robertson 65'
  • goal Colby Bishop 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • James Collins 71' goal
  • goal Colby Bishop 24'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 18, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park