Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (10.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.