Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 30.94% and a draw has a probability of 28.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 0-1 (10.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.24%).