Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.