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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Wrexham |
| 40.14% ( | 26.47% ( | 33.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( | 52.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( | 74.17% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( | 25.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( | 60.62% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( | 29.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( | 65.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.13% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.39% |