Championship
Dec 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marko Stamenic 20' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 70' goal
  • Ethan Galbraith 72' yellowcard
  • Adam Idah 90' goal
  • goal Cameron Burgess 14' (OG)
  • yellowcard George Thomason 18'
  • yellowcard James McClean 42'

Swansea City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
Stoke 2 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Wrexham 2 - 2 Watford
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Nathan Broadhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Swansea City 40.14% (+0.02)
Draw 26.47% (-0.01)
Wrexham 33.39% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.49% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.5% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.82% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.17% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 11.88% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.11% (-0.01)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 74.29% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.7% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.62% (-0.02)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 70.33% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.67% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.72% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Swansea City 40.13%
Draw 26.46%
Wrexham 33.39%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.46%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 33.39%