Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 30.35% and a draw has a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.42%).