Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.