Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.92% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%) , while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.