Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%).