Championship
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ngakia 66'
  • goal Vivaldo Semedo 90'

Norwich City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Norwich 1 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jovon Makama

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 2 Watford
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mamadou Doumbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Norwich City 44.82% (-0.04)
Draw 25.09% (+0.01)
Watford 30.08% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.41% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.17% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.82% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 29.99% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.01% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 14.66% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.33% (+0.02)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 78.64% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.35% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 45.67% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.32% (+0.04)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 70.46% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.54%
Over 1.5 34.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.56% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Norwich City 44.82%
Draw 25.09%
Watford 30.08%
Norwich City
1-0 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.31% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
Watford
0-1 @ 7.69% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 30.08%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 22' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 24' yellowcard
  • Luca Kjerrumgaard 33' goal
  • Luca Kjerrumgaard 61' goal
  • Tom Ince 78' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 8'
  • goal Joshua Sargent 11'
  • goal Oscar Schwartau 45'
  • yellowcard Vladan Kovacevic 54'
EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 35' redcard
  • Imran Louza 40' yellowcard
  • Ryan Andrews 77' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 89' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Sargent 41'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Carrow Road
  • Callum Doyle 3' goal
  • Borja Sainz 45'+3' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 54' goal
  • Kellen Fisher 74' yellowcard
  • Ben Chrisene 89' goal
  • Ben Chrisene 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Andrews 26'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 36'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Carrow Road
  • Ashley Barnes 17' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 20' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 28' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Sara 77' goal
  • Christian Fassnacht 82' goal
  • Liam Gibbs 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mileta Rajovic 42'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 45'+1'
  • goal Yaser Asprilla 71'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 79'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Jake Livermore 18' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 30' goal
  • Mileta Rajovic 33' goal
  • Yaser Asprilla 77' goal
  • goal Danny Batth 3'
  • goal Hwang Ui-jo 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 35'
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 64'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Giannoulis 90'+4'