Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (10.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.