Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 23, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Patrick Agyemang 44' goal
  • Oscar Fraulo 63' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 63' yellowcard
  • Corey Taylor 64' yellowcard
  • Rhian Brewster 64' yellowcard
  • Oscar Fraulo 64' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 64' yellowcard
  • Corey Blackett-Taylor 64' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 85' yellowcard
  • Dion Sanderson 85' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Iling-Junior 8'
  • yellowcard Josh Maja 61'
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace 61'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike 61'
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace  61'
  • yellowcard Daryl Dike  61'
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 74'
  • goal Chris Mepham 90'+5'

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Charlton 1 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
West Brom 0 - 5 Norwich
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Aune Heggebo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (10.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 36.68%
Draw 27.24% (-0.05)
West Bromwich Albion 36.04% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.1% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.77% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.23% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.33% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.63% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.38% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 75.62% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.77% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.23% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Derby County 23.54%
Draw 48.48%
West Bromwich Albion 27.98%

Team To Score First

Derby County 41.17% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.19% (-0.01)
West Bromwich Albion 50.64%

Corners

Over 8 60.39%
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 28.59%
Over 9 48.92%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 39.61%
Over 10.5 37.97%
Under 10.5 62.03%

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 34.42%
Under 1.5 65.58%
Over 2.5 13% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.19%
Under 3.5 95.81%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.09% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 31.91% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.29% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.71% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Derby County 36.7%
Draw 27.25%
West Bromwich Albion 36.04%
Derby County
1-0 @ 10.58% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 36.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.25%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.2%
Other @ 3.49% (-0.01)
Total : 36.04%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Tom Fellows 53' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 70' goal
  • goal Ebou Adams 7'
  • yellowcard Marcus Harness 10'
  • goal Jerry Yates 30'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 87'
  • yellowcard Nat Phillips 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Jerry Yates 28' goal
  • Mason Holgate 68' goal
  • Ebou Adams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 40'
  • goal Grady Diangana 81'
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Louie Sibley 15' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 59'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Curtis Davies 18' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 20' yellowcard
  • Richard Stearman 51' yellowcard
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 58' goal
  • Eiram Cashin 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 36'