Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 23, 2026 8.00pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Preston 0 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 8.00pm
West Brom 2 - 3 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Aune Heggebo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for West Bromwich Albion has a probability of 35.87% and a draw has a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win is 0-1 (10.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

Derby County 37.53% (+0.51)
Draw 26.59% (-0.20)
West Bromwich Albion 35.87% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.97% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.34% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 28.66% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 46.05% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 53.95% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 25.12% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 74.88% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 13.36% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 86.64% (-0.43)

First Half Winner

Derby County 23.54% (-0.02)
Draw 47.92% (+0.06)
West Bromwich Albion 28.54% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Derby County 40.61% (+0.08)
No Goal 7.88% (-0.13)
West Bromwich Albion 51.51% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.71% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 28.31% (-0.07)
Over 9 49.27% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 39.29% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 38.32% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 61.68% (-0.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 35.39% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 64.61% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 13.78% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 86.22% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 4.66% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 95.34% (-0.35)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 67.91% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 32.09% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 33.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.25% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.64% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.36% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Derby County 37.53%
Draw 26.6%
West Bromwich Albion 35.88%
Derby County
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 7.8% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.61% (+0.34)
Total : 37.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.03)
Total : 26.6%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 35.88%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Tom Fellows 53' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 70' goal
  • goal Ebou Adams 7'
  • yellowcard Marcus Harness 10'
  • goal Jerry Yates 30'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 87'
  • yellowcard Nat Phillips 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Jerry Yates 28' goal
  • Mason Holgate 68' goal
  • Ebou Adams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 40'
  • goal Grady Diangana 81'
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Louie Sibley 15' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 59'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Curtis Davies 18' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 20' yellowcard
  • Richard Stearman 51' yellowcard
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 58' goal
  • Eiram Cashin 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 36'