Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.