Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Derby 2 - 0 Swansea
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Bristol City 2 - 2 Wrexham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Bristol City has a probability of 26.56% and a draw has a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Bristol City win is 0-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.56%).

Result

Swansea City 47.08% (-0.04)
Draw 26.36%
Bristol City 26.56% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.66% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.48% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 27.52% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 47.29% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 52.71% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 25.1% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 74.9% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.54% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.46% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 35.53%
Draw 42.54%
Bristol City 21.92%

Team To Score First

Swansea City 55.99% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.93% (-0.03)
Bristol City 36.08% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.64%
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 27.92%
Over 9 48.7%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 39.36%
Over 10.5 37.31%
Under 10.5 62.69%

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 43.17% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.83% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.58% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.39% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.61% (-0.02)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 61.66% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 38.34% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 26.84% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.16% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.31% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 91.69% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.04% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.96% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Swansea City 47.09%
Draw 26.36%
Bristol City 26.56%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 6.38% (+0.01)
Total : 47.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.36%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.03% (+0.03)
Total : 26.56%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 22, 2025 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2025 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • goal Josh Tymon 55'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Ben Cabango 15' goal
  • Kyle Naughton 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anis Mehmeti 55'
  • goal Jason Knight 76'
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nahki Wells 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Mark Sykes 71' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 73' goal
  • Nahki Wells 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 63'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Liam Cullen 10' goal
  • Kyle Naughton 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Josh Ginnelly 57' yellowcard
  • Jamie Paterson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Sykes 48'
  • yellowcard Kal Naismith 45'+3'
  • goal Sam Bell 59'
  • yellowcard Robert Dickie 86'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Liam Cullen 34' goal
  • Olivier Ntcham 77' goal