Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.16%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.