Championship
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 65' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 65' yellowcard
  • Nestory Irankunda 76' yellowcard
  • Nampalys Mendy 77' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Stamenić 55'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Nunes 59'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 59'
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 68'
  • yellowcard Malick Yalcouyé 69'
  • goal Josh Key 80'
  • yellowcard Josh Key 80'

Watford vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Blackburn 1 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Hull City 2 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.16%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Watford 50.56% (-0.65)
Draw 23.58% (+0.23)
Swansea City 25.82% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.07% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 24.93% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 51.13% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 48.87% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 28.03% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 71.97% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 16% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 84% (+0.50)

First Half Winner

Watford 34.57% (-0.03)
Draw 42.85% (+0.01)
Swansea City 22.59% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Watford 54.64% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.42% (+0.12)
Swansea City 38.94% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.25% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 29.66% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.81% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 40.75% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.99% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.01% (-0.04)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 46.86% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 53.14% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 21.7% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 78.3% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 7.96% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 92.04% (+0.48)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 61.34% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 38.66% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 26.99% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 73.01% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 8.69% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.31% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Watford 50.56%
Draw 23.59%
Swansea City 25.82%
Watford
1-0 @ 11.06% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 10.16% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.95% (-0.47)
Total : 50.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.42% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.59%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 7.42% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 6.62% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.84% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.5% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.27% (+0.03)
Total : 25.82%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 23, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Moussa Sissoko 27' goal
  • Imran Louza 42' yellowcard
  • Egil Selvik 72' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 48'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 88'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Myles Peart-Harris 35' goal
  • Matt Grimes 40' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 44' yellowcard
  • Myles Peart-Harris 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 26'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 45'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ryan Porteous 57' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 67' yellowcard
  • Ryan Porteous 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Andrews 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 32'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 36'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • yellowcard Jake Livermore 30'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 73'
  • goal Ken Sema 82'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 86'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joel Piroe 39' goal
  • Liam Cullen 74' goal
  • Joel Piroe 78' goal
  • Joel Latibeaudiere 87' goal