Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.