Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Kévin Keben 66' yellowcard
  • Nestory Irankunda 66' yellowcard
  • Vivaldo Semedo 80' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Macaulay Langstaff 46'
  • yellowcard Aidomo Emakhu 66'
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 67'
  • goal Femi Azeez 69'
  • yellowcard Luke Cundle 80'
  • goal Josh Coburn 81'
  • yellowcard Zak Sturge 87'

Watford vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 3 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Othmane Maamma

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
Millwall 2 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw has a probability of 23.76% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.32%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (6.9%).

Result

Watford 52.54% (+0.01)
Draw 23.76% (+0.02)
Millwall 23.7% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.47% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.53% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.97% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.03% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.13%
Under 3.5 71.87%
Over 4.5 16.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.94% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Watford 39.51% (-0.02)
Draw 40.44%
Millwall 20.04%

Team To Score First

Watford 59.03% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.27% (+0.01)
Millwall 34.7% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.06% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.67% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.28% (-0.05)
Over 9 50.82% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 37.94% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 39.95% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 60.05% (-0.07)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 48.59% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.41% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.7% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.3% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.5%
Under 3.5 91.5%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 59.72% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.28% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 25.46% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.54% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.87% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.13% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.99%
Under 3.5 98.01%

Score analysis

Watford 52.54%
Draw 23.76%
Millwall 23.7%
Watford
1-0 @ 11.36% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.32% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.49%
Total : 52.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.76%
Millwall
0-1 @ 6.9%
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 23.7%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 22, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Matthew Pollock 30' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Cundle 50'
  • goal Casper De Norre 59'
  • goal Josh Coburn 81'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • Ryan Leonard 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan Watmore 74' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 86' yellowcard
  • Duncan Watmore 88' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 7'
  • goal Edo Kayembe 22'
  • goal Giorgi Chakvetadze 55'
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 87'
  • goal Mileta Rajovic 90'
  • yellowcard Mileta Rajovic 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Zian Flemming 3' goal
  • Danny McNamara 45' yellowcard
  • Ryan Leonard 75' yellowcard
  • Zian Flemming 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 1'
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Yaser Asprilla 7' goal
  • Jake Livermore 37' yellowcard
  • Yaser Asprilla 50' yellowcard
  • Ken Sema 79' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajovic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Zian Flemming 12'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 27'
  • yellowcard George Saville 38'
  • goal Wes Harding 85'
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • goal Andreas Voglsammer 22'
  • goal Zian Flemming 83'