Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Kevin Keben 46' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Doumbia 46' yellowcard
  • Kévin Keben 46' yellowcard
  • Rocco Vata 63' yellowcard
  • Rocco Vata 64' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Doumbia 79' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 81' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 46'
  • yellowcard Zak Swanson 46'
  • goal Adrian Segecic 73'
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 83'
  • yellowcard Luke Le Roux 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ibane Bowat 90'+3'
  • yellowcard John Swift 90'+6'

Watford vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Watford 0 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Terry Devlin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.04% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%) , while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Watford 55.36% (+0.05)
Draw 24.04% (+0.06)
Portsmouth 20.6% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.15% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.72%
Under 1.5 27.28%
Over 2.5 47.66% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.4% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 74.6% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 14.43% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.57% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Watford 38.07% (+0.17)
Draw 42.42% (+0.02)
Portsmouth 19.51% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Watford 57.77% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.64% (+0.05)
Portsmouth 34.59% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.59% (-0.20)
Equal 8 11.36% (+0.04)
Under 8 29.04% (+0.17)
Over 9 47.86% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.41% (+0.20)
Over 10.5 36.77% (-0.21)
Under 10.5 63.23% (+0.21)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 49.07% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 50.93% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 23.15% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.85% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.62%
Under 3.5 91.38%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 54.38% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.62% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.98%
Under 1.5 79.02%
Over 2.5 5.89% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 94.11% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.28% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.72% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Watford 55.34%
Draw 24.05%
Portsmouth 20.6%
Watford
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 10.55% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.61%
Total : 55.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.05%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Total : 20.6%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 1, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Colby Bishop 25' goal
  • Colby Bishop 27' yellowcard
  • Adil Aouchiche 44' yellowcard
  • Freddie Botts 64' yellowcard
  • Callum Lang 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Dwomoh 53'
  • redcard Kevin Keben 57'
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 67'
  • yellowcard 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Kwadwo Baah 30' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 57' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 59' yellowcard
  • Rocco Vata 90'+5' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Zak Swanson 11'
  • yellowcard John Mousinho 31'
  • yellowcard Marlon Pack 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Schmid 59'
  • yellowcard Josh Murphy 60'
  • yellowcard Callum Lang 64'
  • yellowcard Zak Swanson 75'
  • yellowcard Owen Moxon 90'
Championship
Jan 2, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dave Kitson 79' yellowcard
  • Hayden Mullins 87' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 56'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mariappa 66'
  • redcard Scott Loach 82'
Championship
Nov 19, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Kightly 2' goal
  • Jonathan Hogg 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dave Kitson 57'
Championship
Jan 1, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Taylor 42' goal
  • Marvin Sordell 52' goal
  • Danny Graham 69' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Dickinson 57'
  • yellowcard John Utaka 74'
  • redcard Greg Halford 90'