Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.04% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%) , while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.