Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Swansea 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Ipswich 0 - 0 Blackburn
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Andri Gudjohnsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Blackburn Rovers has a probability of 30.74% and a draw has a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win is 0-1 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).

Result

Swansea City 42.28% (+2.36)
Draw 27.01% (-0.55)
Blackburn Rovers 30.74% (-1.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.14% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.22% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 30.78% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 43.46% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 56.54% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 21.6% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 78.4% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 11.02% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 88.98% (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 32.06% (+2.44)
Draw 43.68% (-2.07)
Blackburn Rovers 24.25% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 47.36% (+1.36)
No Goal 8.95% (-0.28)
Blackburn Rovers 43.69% (-1.10)

Corners

Over 8 60.08% (+2.23)
Equal 8 11.04% (-0.32)
Under 8 28.87% (-1.93)
Over 9 48.64% (+2.36)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.14)
Under 9 39.92% (-2.23)
Over 10.5 37.74% (+2.29)
Under 10.5 62.26% (-2.29)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 37.13% (+2.14)
Under 1.5 62.87% (-2.14)
Over 2.5 14.15% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 85.85% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 4.42% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 95.58% (-0.57)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 63.73% (-1.43)
Under 0.5 36.27% (+1.43)
Over 1.5 28.16% (-1.45)
Under 1.5 71.84% (+1.46)
Over 2.5 8.85% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 91.15% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 2.19% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.81% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Swansea City 42.29%
Draw 27.02%
Blackburn Rovers 30.74%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.94% (+0.29)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.49)
2-0 @ 7.64% (+0.63)
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.38% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.41% (+0.57)
Total : 42.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.42)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 4.55% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.02%
Blackburn Rovers
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.60)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.18% (-0.25)
Total : 30.74%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Zan Vipotnik 39' goal
  • Myles Peart-Harris 45'+2' goal
  • Liam Cullen 62' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Brittain 64'
  • yellowcard Tyrhys Dolan 76'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Tyrhys Dolan 13' goal
  • Owen Beck 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 8'
  • yellowcard Josh Key 41'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joe Allen 7' goal
  • Jamie Paterson 19' goal
  • Josh Tymon 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 15'
  • yellowcard Tyrhys Dolan 34'
  • goal Sammie Szmodics 67'
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Ewood Park
  • Hayden Carter 32' yellowcard
  • Hayden Carter 32' yellowcard
  • Joe Rankin-Costello 37' yellowcard
  • Joe Rankin-Costello 37' yellowcard
  • Sammie Szmodics 60' yellowcard
  • Sammie Szmodics 60' yellowcard
  • Scott Wharton 63' yellowcard
  • Scott Wharton 63' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 90' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Cullen 28'
  • goal Liam Cullen 28'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 50'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 50'
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 77'
  • yellowcard Harrison Ashby 79'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ewood Park
  • Daniel Ayala 89' goal