Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Zan Vipotnik 21' goal
  • Liam Cullen 68' yellowcard
  • Malick Yalcouyé 68' yellowcard
  • Zeidane Inoussa 77' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 56'
  • goal Patrick Roberts 72'
  • yellowcard Willum Thór Willumsson 85'

Swansea City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
Millwall 2 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 12.00pm
Birmingham 3 - 2 Coventry
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Swansea City 39.23% (-0.04)
Draw 25.27%
Birmingham City 35.5% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.87% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.13% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 54.66%
Under 2.5 45.34%
Over 3.5 32.01%
Under 3.5 67.99%
Over 4.5 18.39%
Under 4.5 81.61%

First Half Winner

Swansea City 28.93%
Draw 44.16%
Birmingham City 26.91%

Team To Score First

Swansea City 47.09%
No Goal 5.8%
Birmingham City 47.11%

Corners

Over 8 54.65%
Equal 8 12.07%
Under 8 33.28%
Over 9 42.64%
Equal 9 12.01%
Under 9 45.35%
Over 10.5 31.71%
Under 10.5 68.29%

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 40.94% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.06% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.5% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.5% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.97% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.03% (+0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 70.91% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.09% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.21% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.79% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.67% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.7% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swansea City 39.22%
Draw 25.27%
Birmingham City 35.51%
Swansea City
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.79% (-0.01)
Total : 39.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.27%
Birmingham City
1-2 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.43%
Other @ 5.12% (+0.01)
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 20, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Ivan Sunjic 29' yellowcard
  • Siriki Dembele 38' goal
  • Jay Stansfield 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 56' yellowcard
  • Lee Buchanan 83' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+5' goal
  • goal Harry Darling 36'
  • goal Jamal Lowe 58'
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 70'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 76'
  • yellowcard Jerry Yates 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamie Paterson 2' yellowcard
  • Jerry Yates 76' goal
  • yellowcard T 27'
  • goal Siriki Dembele 45'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 87'
  • yellowcard Koji Miyoshi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joel Piroe 23' goal
  • Liam Cullen 29' goal
  • Joel Piroe 58' goal
  • goal Scott Hogan 14'
  • goal Tahith Chong 55'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 90'
  • goal Auston Trusty 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Scott Hogan 12' goal
  • Troy Deeney 89' goal
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 30'
  • goal Matt Grimes 45'+2'
Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT