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Oxford United
Championship
Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Swansea logo

0-1

FT(HT: 0-1)
Vipotnik (13')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Swansea
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Next Game: Ipswich vs. Oxford Utd
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Swansea
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Next Game: Swansea vs. West Brom
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
32.95% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)26.43% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)40.62% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.122 0.12)52.47% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.103 0.1)74.14% (-0.107 -0.11)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.107 0.11)25.43% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.149 0.15)60.25% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 32.95%
    Swansea City 40.61%
    Draw 26.43%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.61%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2025 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Oxford Utd
Stamenic (40'), Tymon (45+4')
Tymon (43'), Franco (61')

Harris (43'), Krastev (45'), (45+2'), Rowett (71'), Currie (75'), Lankshear (84')
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Swansea
3-3
Oxford Utd
Eom (23'), Pereira Martins (57'), Cullen (82')
Leigh (40'), Helik (62'), Placheta (90+3')
Matos (48'), Brannagan (90+5')
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
gameweek 13
Oxford Utd
1-2
Swansea
Scarlett (88')
Sibley (32')
Vipotnik (38'), Bianchini (80')
Tymon (84')
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-0
Swansea
Browne (6')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Swansea
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties)
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
rhs 2.0


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