Championship
Oxford Utd
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Swansea
  • Tyler Goodrham 13' yellowcard
  • Jack Currie 69' yellowcard
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 13'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 35'
  • yellowcard Zeidane Inoussa 53'
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenic 73'
  • yellowcard Ji-Sung Eom 75'

Oxford United vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Coventry 1 - 0 Swansea
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 32.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 26.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Swansea City 40.62% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.24% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.53% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 52.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 25.86% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74.14% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 11.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 88.09% ▼ (-0.08)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 70.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.04% ▼ (-0.03)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 74.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 25.43% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 39.75% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.25% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Oxford United 32.95%
Draw 26.43%
Swansea City 40.61%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 32.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.43%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 10.42% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.61%

Head to Head

Championship
Swansea
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Marko Stamenic 40' goal
  • Josh Tymon 43' yellowcard
  • Josh Tymon 45'+4' goal
  • Goncalo Franco 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 43'
  • yellowcard Filip Krastev 45'
  • yellowcard 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Gary Rowett 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Currie 75'
  • yellowcard Will Lankshear 84'
Championship Gameweek 46
Swansea
May 3, 2025 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Ji-Sung Eom 23' goal
  • Ronald Pereira Martins 57' goal
  • Liam Cullen 82' goal
  • goal Gregory Leigh 40'
  • yellowcard Alex Matos 48'
  • goal Michal Helik 62'
  • goal Przemyslaw Placheta 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oxford Utd
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
Swansea
  • Louie Sibley 32' yellowcard
  • Dane Scarlett 88' goal
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 38'
  • goal Florian Bianchini 80'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 84'
Club Friendlies 1
Oxford Utd
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Swansea
  • Marcus Browne 6' goal
EFL Cup
Oxford Utd
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
ET The Kassam Stadium
Swansea
  • Edward McGinty 7' yellowcard
  • Marcus Browne 65' yellowcard
  • Alex Rodriguez 72' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jay Fulton 8'
  • goal Liam Cullen 25'
  • yellowcard Matthew Sorinola 76'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 82'
FA Cup
Oxford Utd
Jan 10, 2016 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Swansea
  • Liam Sercombe 45' goal
  • Kemar Roofe 49' goal
  • Kemar Roofe 59' goal
  • goal Jefferson Montero 23'
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 39'
  • yellowcard Jordi Amat 46'
  • yellowcard Franck Tabanou 52'
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 56'
  • goal Bafetimbi Gomis 66'

Form Data

Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Southampton
Charlton 1 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 2 Preston
Blackburn 1 - 1 Oxford Utd
Swansea 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Ipswich
Coventry 1 - 0 Swansea
Swansea 2 - 1 Wrexham
Stoke 2 - 1 Swansea
Swansea 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Swansea 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
West Brom 3 - 2 Swansea

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