Championship
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT MKM Stadium
  • Oliver McBurnie 24' yellowcard
  • Regan Slater 39' goal
  • Yu Hirakawa 56' yellowcard
  • John Lundstram 56' yellowcard
  • Babajide David Akintola 72' yellowcard
  • Matty Jacob 72' yellowcard
  • Kieran Dowell 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Key 46'
  • goal Liam Cullen 59'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 66'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Nunes 66'
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenić 66'
  • yellowcard Malick Yalcouyé 80'

Hull City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Preston 0 - 3 Hull City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Kyle Joseph

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Swansea 3 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Hull City 41.13% (+0.06)
Draw 26.25% (-0.06)
Swansea City 32.62% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.22% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.05% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 27.95% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 47.2% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 52.8% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 25.74% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74.26% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.67% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.33% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Hull City 28.25% (+0.22)
Draw 45.58% (-0.22)
Swansea City 26.17% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Hull City 48.54% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.99% (-0.04)
Swansea City 43.47% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.9% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 29.82% (+0.02)
Over 9 47.31% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.1% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 36.38%
Under 10.5 63.62%

Hull City Goals

Over 1.5 38.59% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.41% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.57% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.43% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.96% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.04% (-0.04)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 66.22% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.78% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.64% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.36% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.27% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.73% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.16% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.84% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Hull City 41.13%
Draw 26.27%
Swansea City 32.61%
Hull City
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 4.07% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.95% (+0.05)
Total : 41.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.27%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 3.15% (+0.01)
Total : 32.61%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joe Allen 27' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 51' goal
  • Jay Fulton 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean McLoughlin 3'
  • yellowcard Joe Gelhardt 13'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 86'
  • redcard Matt Crooks 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Joao Pedro 34' goal
  • Lewie Coyle 45' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Puerta 75' yellowcard
  • Mason Burstow 80' goal
  • Xavier Simons 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Darling 42'
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 74'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Tyler Morton 26' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Cullen 11'
  • goal Liam Cullen 11'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 38'
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 83'
  • yellowcard Bashir Humphreys 87'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamie Paterson 17' goal
  • Jerry Yates 23' goal
  • goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace 48'
  • yellowcard Jacob Greaves 60'
  • goal Tyler Morton 68'
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 89'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Ben Cabango 3' goal
  • goal Luke Cundle 39'