Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.