Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
MKM Stadium

Hull City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 0 Hull City
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Kyle Joseph

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Swansea 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hull City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 33.38% and a draw has a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Hull City 40.29% (-0.19)
Draw 26.32% (+0.29)
Swansea City 33.38% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.38% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.24% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 27.76% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 47.64% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 52.36% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 25.71% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 74.29% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 13.67% (-0.66)
Under 4.5 86.33% (+0.65)

First Half Winner

Hull City 28.54% (-0.68)
Draw 45.73% (-0.13)
Swansea City 25.73% (+0.81)

Team To Score First

Hull City 48.39% (+0.28)
No Goal 7.8% (+0.19)
Swansea City 43.81% (-0.47)

Corners

Over 8 57.85% (+0.46)
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 30.77% (-0.45)
Over 9 46.25% (+0.41)
Equal 9 11.6% (+0.04)
Under 9 42.15% (-0.46)
Over 10.5 35.39% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 64.61% (-0.33)

Hull City Goals

Over 1.5 38.17% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 61.83% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 15.2% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 84.8% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 4.79% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 95.21% (+0.22)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 66.98% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 33.02% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 32.4% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 67.6% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 11.85% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 88.15% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 3.34% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 96.66% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Hull City 40.3%
Draw 26.33%
Swansea City 33.38%
Hull City
1-0 @ 10.45% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.93% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.14)
Other @ 4.74% (-0.25)
Total : 40.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 7.8% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.03)
Total : 26.33%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 9.52% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.79% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.26% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.29% (-0.17)
Total : 33.38%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Joe Allen 27' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 51' goal
  • Jay Fulton 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean McLoughlin 3'
  • yellowcard Joe Gelhardt 13'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 86'
  • redcard Matt Crooks 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Joao Pedro 34' goal
  • Lewie Coyle 45' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Puerta 75' yellowcard
  • Mason Burstow 80' goal
  • Xavier Simons 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Darling 42'
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 74'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Tyler Morton 26' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Cullen 11'
  • goal Liam Cullen 11'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 38'
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 83'
  • yellowcard Bashir Humphreys 87'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamie Paterson 17' goal
  • Jerry Yates 23' goal
  • goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace 48'
  • yellowcard Jacob Greaves 60'
  • goal Tyler Morton 68'
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 89'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Ben Cabango 3' goal
  • goal Luke Cundle 39'