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Derby County vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 33.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (8.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).
Result
Derby County
33.69%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
25.91%
▲
(+0.02)
Swansea City
40.37%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
54.61%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.24%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
25.76%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
49.82%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
50.18%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
27.92%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
72.08%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
15.25%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
84.75%
▼
(-0.08)
First Half Winner
Derby County
24.26%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
47.22%
▼
(-0.13)
Swansea City
28.53%
▲
(+0.11)
Team To Score First
Derby County
40.04%
▲
(+0.08)
No Goal
7.13%
Swansea City
52.83%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
58.59%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 8
11.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
29.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 9
46.64%
Equal 9
11.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 9
41.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 10.5
35.43%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 10.5
64.57%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
34.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
65.98%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
12.93%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
87.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
3.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
96.04%
▲
(+0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
72.61%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
27.39%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
39.67%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
60.33%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 2.5
16.07%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
83.93%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
5.22%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
94.78%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Derby County
33.68%
Draw
25.92%
Swansea City
40.36%
Derby County
1-0
@
8.91%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.68%
2-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.68%
Draw
1-1
@
12.19%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.92%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.92%
Swansea City
0-1
@
9.68%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.9%
0-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.36%
1-2 @ 8.9%
0-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.36%
Ben Brereton Diaz
82'