/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
-
Rhian Brewster
47'
-
Patrick Agyemang
67'
-
Bobby Clark
72'
-
Liam Thompson
72'
-
Jaydon Banel
88'
-
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
88'
-
Carlton Morris
90'+5'
-
Leo Walta
65'
-
Gustavo Nunes
65'
-
Melker Widell
77'
-
Malick Yalcouyé
77'
-
Jay Fulton
85'
Derby County vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fjohn-eustace-derby-county-every-second-media-696c2db4439f3039429399.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
33.69%
Draw
25.91%
Swansea City
40.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
54.58%
Goals
Over 1.5
74.25%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
25.75%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
49.79%
Under 2.5
50.21%
Over 3.5
27.92%
Under 3.5
72.08%
Over 4.5
15.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
84.74%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Derby County
24.26%
Draw
47.22%
Swansea City
28.53%
Team To Score First
Derby County
40.04%
No Goal
7.13%
Swansea City
52.83%
Corners
Over 8
58.59%
Equal 8
11.64%
Under 8
29.76%
Over 9
46.64%
Equal 9
11.95%
Under 9
41.41%
Over 10.5
35.43%
Under 10.5
64.57%
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
34.02%
Under 1.5
65.98%
Over 2.5
12.92%
Under 2.5
87.08%
Over 3.5
3.96%
Under 3.5
96.04%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
72.62%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
27.38%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
39.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
60.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
16.08%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
83.92%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
5.22%
Under 3.5
94.78%
Score analysis
Derby County
33.69%
Draw
25.91%
Swansea City
40.38%
Derby County
1-0
@
8.92%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.14%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.69%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.14%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.69%
Draw
1-1
@
12.19%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.91%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.91%
Swansea City
0-1
@
9.68%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 40.38%
1-2 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 40.38%