Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Lewis Travis 13' yellowcard
  • Danny Batth 58' yellowcard
  • Jaydon Banel 63' yellowcard
  • Oscar Fraulo 63' yellowcard
  • Rhian Brewster 68' goal
  • Rhian Brewster 68' yellowcard
  • Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 82' yellowcard
  • Owen Eames 90' yellowcard
  • Lewis Travis 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Lewis Travis 8' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jack Taylor 30'
  • yellowcard Anis Mehmeti 33'
  • yellowcard Kasey McAteer 64'
  • yellowcard Dan Neil 75'
  • yellowcard Chuba Akpom 76'
  • yellowcard George Hirst 76'
  • goal Leif Davis 77'
  • yellowcard Kasey McAteer 83'
  • yellowcard Darnell Furlong 90'+2'

Derby County vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 8.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 5 Derby
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Ipswich 1 - 1 Preston
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Jack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 27.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Ipswich Town 46.02% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.53% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.58% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 28.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 46.11% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 53.89% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 24.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 12.82% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 87.18% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Derby County 21.94% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 42.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Ipswich Town 35.82% ▼ (-0.19)

Team To Score First

Derby County 34.64% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 8.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Ipswich Town 57.01% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 46.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 41.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 35.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.72% ▲ (+0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 27.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 72.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 8.59%
Under 2.5 91.41%
Over 3.5 2.24%
Under 3.5 97.76%

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.95% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 58.05% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 17.68% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 82.32% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Derby County 27.79%
Draw 26.2%
Ipswich Town 46.01%
Derby County
1-0 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.2%
Ipswich Town
0-1 @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 46.01%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Jacob Greaves 33' goal
  • Kasey McAteer 40' yellowcard
  • George Hirst 54' yellowcard
  • Jack Clarke 90'+16' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 35'
  • goal Carlton Morris 50'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Travis 67'
  • goal Rhian Brewster 70'
  • yellowcard Bobby Clark 75'
  • yellowcard Dion Sanderson 85'
  • yellowcard David Ozoh 90'+14'
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 90'+15'
League One Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • goal Conor Chaplin 17'
  • goal George Hirst 76'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 21, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Wes Burns 67' goal
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Portman Road Stadium (Ipswich, Suffolk)
  • Jon Nolan 55' goal
  • Teddy Bishop 57' yellowcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 63' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pennington 94' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lawrence 2'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 21'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 57'
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 85'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 94'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
  • Craig Bryson 16' yellowcard
  • Richard Keogh 42' yellowcard
  • Joe Ledley 59' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 68' goal
  • yellowcard Cole Skuse 47'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 67'
Championship
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Webster 43' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 65' goal
  • goal Sam Winnall 13'
  • goal Sam Winnall 48'