Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 8.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 5 Derby
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Portsmouth 0 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Clarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 27.82% and a draw has a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).

Result

Derby County 27.82% (-1.81)
Draw 26.22% (+0.88)
Ipswich Town 45.93% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.48% (-2.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.46% (-2.06)
Under 1.5 28.54% (+2.06)
Over 2.5 45.97% (-2.93)
Under 2.5 54% (+2.90)
Over 3.5 24.71% (-2.38)
Under 3.5 75.29% (+2.39)
Over 4.5 12.77% (-1.45)
Under 4.5 87.23% (+1.44)

First Half Winner

Derby County 21.77% (-0.56)
Draw 42.23% (-0.61)
Ipswich Town 36.01% (+1.17)

Team To Score First

Derby County 34.58% (-1.97)
No Goal 8.37% (+1.00)
Ipswich Town 57.05% (+0.96)

Corners

Over 8 58.54% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.68% (+0.11)
Under 8 29.78% (+0.11)
Over 9 46.55% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.10)
Under 9 41.46% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 35.3% (-0.40)
Under 10.5 64.69% (+0.38)

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 26.99% (-2.65)
Under 1.5 73.01% (+2.65)
Over 2.5 8.62% (-1.57)
Under 2.5 91.38% (+1.57)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.54)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.35% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 25.65% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 41.81% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 58.19% (+0.62)
Over 2.5 17.59% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 82.41% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 5.67% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 94.33% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Derby County 27.83%
Draw 26.23%
Ipswich Town 45.92%
Derby County
1-0 @ 8.86% (+0.29)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.49)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.36)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.36)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.23% (-0.53)
Total : 27.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.30)
0-0 @ 8.37% (+1.00)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.28)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.23%
Ipswich Town
0-1 @ 11.29% (+0.74)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 8.5% (+0.75)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.30)
0-3 @ 4.06% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.15)
Other @ 5.66% (-0.27)
Total : 45.92%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • goal Conor Chaplin 17'
  • goal George Hirst 76'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 21, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Portman Road Stadium
  • Wes Burns 67' goal
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Portman Road Stadium (Ipswich, Suffolk)
  • Jon Nolan 55' goal
  • Teddy Bishop 57' yellowcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 63' yellowcard
  • Matthew Pennington 94' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lawrence 2'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 21'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 57'
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 85'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 94'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
  • Craig Bryson 16' yellowcard
  • Richard Keogh 42' yellowcard
  • Joe Ledley 59' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 68' goal
  • yellowcard Cole Skuse 47'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 67'
Championship
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Webster 43' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 65' goal
  • goal Sam Winnall 13'
  • goal Sam Winnall 48'