Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Robins High Performance Centre

Bristol City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Hull City 2 - 3 Bristol City
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Wrexham 0 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 35.22% and a draw has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).

Result

Bristol City 39.91% (+0.01)
Draw 24.87% (+0.02)
Wrexham 35.22% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.2% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.85% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 48.15% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 29.59% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.38% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.31% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.69% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 33.71% (-0.01)
Draw 42.01%
Wrexham 24.28% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bristol City 50.13% (-0.10)
No Goal 6.29% (+0.01)
Wrexham 43.58% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.34% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 30.02% (-0.02)
Over 9 46.42% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 41.66% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 35.24% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 64.76% (-0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 40.22% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.78% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.27%
Under 2.5 83.73%
Over 3.5 5.55% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.45% (-0.02)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 69.26% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 30.74% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 36.3% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.7% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.21% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.79% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 4.58% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bristol City 39.92%
Draw 24.87%
Wrexham 35.21%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.39% (+0.02)
Total : 39.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.87%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 8.52%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.42% (-0.01)
Total : 35.21%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Broadhead 16' goal
  • Dan Scarr 50' yellowcard
  • Radek Vitek 74' goal
  • yellowcard Gerhard Struber 41'
  • yellowcard Yu Hirakawa 50'
  • yellowcard Robert Dickie 53'
League One
Apr 16, 2005 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Murray 66' goal
League One
Nov 20, 2004 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Craig Morgan 75' yellowcard
  • Chris Armstrong 77' goal
  • Darren Ferguson 82' yellowcard
  • goal Mickey Bell 36'
  • goal Scott Murray 44'
  • goal Stephen Brooker 52'
  • yellowcard Tony Butler 80'
  • yellowcard Stephen Brooker 90'