Championship
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Jason Knight 46' yellowcard
  • Sinclair Armstrong 46' yellowcard
  • Delano Burgzorg 46' yellowcard
  • Sinclair Armstrong 47' goal
  • Max Bird 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Williams 71' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 89' goal
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 34'
  • goal Ollie Rathbone 34'
  • yellowcard George Dobson 71'
  • yellowcard Kieffer Moore 71'
  • yellowcard Josh Windass 71'
  • goal Joe Williams 76' (OG)

Bristol City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Hull City 2 - 3 Bristol City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Wrexham 0 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Bristol City 39.28% (-0.58)
Draw 25.8% (+0.95)
Wrexham 34.93% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39% (+0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.12% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 23.88% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 52.36% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 47.64% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 30.08% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 69.92% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 16.68% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 83.32% (-0.37)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 32.28% (-1.44)
Draw 43.4% (+1.40)
Wrexham 24.32% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Bristol City 51.84% (+1.62)
No Goal 6.41% (+0.13)
Wrexham 41.75% (-1.75)

Corners

Over 8 56.6% (-1.75)
Equal 8 11.55% (-0.09)
Under 8 31.85% (+1.84)
Over 9 44.94% (-1.49)
Equal 9 11.66% (-0.26)
Under 9 43.4% (+1.75)
Over 10.5 34.13% (-1.12)
Under 10.5 65.87% (+1.13)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 40.25% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.75% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.72% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 83.28% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 5.66% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.34% (-0.12)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 30.29% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 36.84% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 63.16% (-0.48)
Over 2.5 14.56% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 85.44% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 95.24% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Bristol City 39.28%
Draw 25.79%
Wrexham 34.93%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.06% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.11)
Other @ 5.35% (-0.04)
Total : 39.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (+0.27)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.15)
Total : 25.79%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.42% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.45% (+0.03)
Total : 34.93%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Broadhead 16' goal
  • Dan Scarr 50' yellowcard
  • Radek Vitek 74' goal
  • yellowcard Gerhard Struber 41'
  • yellowcard Yu Hirakawa 50'
  • yellowcard Robert Dickie 53'
League One
Apr 16, 2005 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Murray 66' goal
League One
Nov 20, 2004 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Craig Morgan 75' yellowcard
  • Chris Armstrong 77' goal
  • Darren Ferguson 82' yellowcard
  • goal Mickey Bell 36'
  • goal Scott Murray 44'
  • goal Stephen Brooker 52'
  • yellowcard Tony Butler 80'
  • yellowcard Stephen Brooker 90'