Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.