FA Cup
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Liberato Cacace
37'
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Oliver Rathbone
40'
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George Thomason
60'
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Lewis O'Brien
69'
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Josh Windass
69'
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69'
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Dominic Hyam
74'
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James McClean
88'
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Ryan Barnett
91'
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Jay Rodriguez
100'
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Nicolas Dominguez
46'
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Morgan Gibbs-White
46'
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Neco Williams
46'
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Igor Jesus
64'
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Callum Hudson-Odoi
69'
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Callum Hudson-Odoi
76'
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Taiwo Awoniyi
88'
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Callum Hudson-Odoi
89'
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Murillo
97'
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result
Wrexham
38.15%
Draw
26.04%
Nottingham Forest
35.81%
Both Teams to Score:
54.42%
Goals
Over 1.5
74.47%
Under 1.5
25.53%
Over 2.5
49.36%
Under 2.5
50.65%
Over 3.5
27.34%
Under 3.5
72.66%
Over 4.5
15.12%
Under 4.5
84.88%
First Half Winner
Wrexham
27.43%
Draw
45.68%
Nottingham Forest
26.89%
Team To Score First
Wrexham
45.73%
No Goal
7.01%
Nottingham Forest
47.26%
Corners
Over 8
58.05%
Equal 8
11.32%
Under 8
30.62%
Over 9
46.49%
Equal 9
11.56%
Under 9
41.95%
Over 10.5
35.65%
Under 10.5
64.35%
Wrexham Goals
Over 1.5
37.5%
Under 1.5
62.5%
Over 2.5
15.02%
Under 2.5
84.98%
Over 3.5
4.9%
Under 3.5
95.1%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5
69.21%
Under 0.5
30.79%
Over 1.5
35.59%
Under 1.5
64.41%
Over 2.5
13.61%
Under 2.5
86.39%
Over 3.5
4.23%
Under 3.5
95.77%
Score analysis
Wrexham
38.15%
Draw
26.05%
Nottingham Forest
35.82%
Wrexham
1-0
@
9.41%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 38.15%
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 38.15%
Draw
1-1
@
12.69%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.05%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.05%
Nottingham Forest
0-1
@
9.13%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 35.82%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 35.82%