Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.