Championship Gameweek 35
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Blackburn 1 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Watford 0 - 2 Ipswich
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Mamadou Doumbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw has a probability of 28.12% and a win for Watford has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.94%) , while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (8.04%).

Result

Bristol City 47.17% (+0.18)
Draw 28.12% (+0.14)
Watford 24.7% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.93% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 32.07% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 43.07% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 56.93% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 22.88% (-0.90)
Under 3.5 77.08% (+0.85)
Over 4.5 12.1% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 87.9% (+0.68)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 35.72%
Draw 42.7%
Watford 21.59%

Team To Score First

Bristol City 53.29% (-0.06)
No Goal 10.64% (+0.17)
Watford 36.07% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 61.33% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.02)
Under 8 27.07% (-0.01)
Over 9 49.13% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.2% (-0.03)
Under 9 38.67% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.45% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 62.55% (-0.06)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 40.88% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 59.12% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 16.89% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 83.11% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 5.6% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 94.4% (+0.20)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 57.15% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 42.85% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 24.44% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 75.56% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 7.76% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 92.24% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Bristol City 47.17%
Draw 28.13%
Watford 24.72%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 13.41% (+0.30)
2-0 @ 9.09% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.11)
Other @ 5.52% (-0.14)
Total : 47.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 10.64% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.07)
Total : 28.13%
Watford
0-1 @ 8.04% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.88% (-0.19)
Total : 24.72%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 10, 2026 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 2' goal
  • Anis Mehmeti 37' goal
  • Scott Twine 58' yellowcard
  • George Earthy 58' yellowcard
  • Adam Randell 59' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 66' goal
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 68' goal
  • Yu Hirakawa 71' yellowcard
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 76' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 62'
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Grieves 63'
  • goal Jack Grieves 74'
Championship
Nov 7, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • Ross McCrorie 24' goal
  • Nahki Wells 29' goal
  • George Earthy 69' yellowcard
  • goal Mamadou Doumbia 80'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Francisco Sierralta 46' yellowcard
  • Ryan Andrews 54' goal
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 72'
  • yellowcard Cameron Pring 87'
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Scott Twine 25' goal
  • Ross McCrorie 36' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Dele-Bashiru 13'
  • yellowcard Yaser Asprilla 14'
  • yellowcard Ryan Andrews 40'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 49' goal
  • Wesley Hoedt 80' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Pring 28'
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 45'+2' (OG)
  • goal Mark Sykes 50'
  • goal Andreas Weimann 83'