Championship Gameweek 35
Bristol City
Feb 27, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Watford
  • Scott Twine 36' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 61' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 61' yellowcard
  • Cameron Pring 76' yellowcard
  • Delano Burgzorg 84' yellowcard
  • George Earthy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Kjerrumgaard 7'
  • yellowcard Tom Ince 69'
  • yellowcard Mattie Pollock 69'
  • goal Jeremy Ngakia 77'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 85'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 86'
  • yellowcard Pierre Ekwah 86'
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 90'+3'

Bristol City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Blackburn 1 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Watford 0 - 2 Ipswich
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.12% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%) , while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Bristol City 47.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 28.12% ▲ (+0.14)
Watford 24.7% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.93% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 32.07% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 43.07% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 56.93% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 22.88% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 3.5 77.08% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 4.5 12.1% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 4.5 87.9% ▲ (+0.68)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 35.72%
Draw 42.7%
Watford 21.59%

Team To Score First

Bristol City 53.29% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 10.64% ▲ (+0.17)
Watford 36.07% ▼ (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 61.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 27.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 49.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 38.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 62.55% ▼ (-0.06)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 40.88% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 59.12% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 16.89% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 83.11% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 5.6% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 94.4% ▲ (+0.20)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 57.15% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 42.85% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 24.44% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 1.5 75.56% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 2.5 7.76% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 2.5 92.24% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 1.96% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 98.04% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Bristol City 47.17%
Draw 28.13%
Watford 24.72%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 13.41% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 47.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 28.13%
Watford
0-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.19)
Total : 24.72%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Bristol City
Jan 10, 2026 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Robins High Performance Centre
Watford
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 2' goal
  • Anis Mehmeti 37' goal
  • Scott Twine 58' yellowcard
  • George Earthy 58' yellowcard
  • Adam Randell 59' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 66' goal
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 68' goal
  • Yu Hirakawa 71' yellowcard
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 76' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 62'
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Grieves 63'
  • goal Jack Grieves 74'
Championship
Watford
Nov 7, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bristol City
Championship Gameweek 40
Bristol City
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Robins High Performance Centre
Watford
  • Ross McCrorie 24' goal
  • Nahki Wells 29' goal
  • George Earthy 69' yellowcard
  • goal Mamadou Doumbia 80'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 17
Watford
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
Bristol City
  • Francisco Sierralta 46' yellowcard
  • Ryan Andrews 54' goal
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 72'
  • yellowcard Cameron Pring 87'
Championship Gameweek 28
Bristol City
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Watford
  • Scott Twine 25' goal
  • Ross McCrorie 36' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Dele-Bashiru 13'
  • yellowcard Yaser Asprilla 14'
  • yellowcard Ryan Andrews 40'
Championship Gameweek 24
Watford
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Vicarage Road
Bristol City
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 49' goal
  • Wesley Hoedt 80' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Pring 28'
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 45'+2' (OG)
  • goal Mark Sykes 50'
  • goal Andreas Weimann 83'

Form Data

Blackburn 1 - 2 Bristol City
Swansea 1 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 2 - 2 Wrexham
Hull City 2 - 3 Bristol City
Bristol City 0 - 5 Derby
Bristol City 2 - 0 Sheff Weds
Watford 0 - 2 Ipswich
Watford 2 - 0 Derby
Preston 2 - 2 Watford
Southampton 1 - 0 Watford
Hull City 0 - 0 Watford
Watford 0 - 2 Swansea