Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
Stoke 0 - 2 Southampton
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Hull City 0 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mamadou Doumbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw has a probability of 25.92% and a win for Watford has a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (6.99%).

Result

Southampton 49.52% (+0.06)
Draw 25.92% (+0.07)
Watford 24.56% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.92% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.62% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.38% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.84% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 54.16% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 24.45% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.55% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.4% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.6% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Southampton 35.11% (+0.09)
Draw 40.86%
Watford 24.02% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Southampton 51.1% (-0.11)
No Goal 9.14%
Watford 39.76% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 64.96% (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.66% (-0.01)
Under 8 24.38% (-0.13)
Over 9 53.44% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 9 35.04% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 42.06% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 57.94% (-0.11)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 43.43% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 56.57% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.57% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.43% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.25%
Under 3.5 93.75%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 56.6% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 43.4% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.19% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.81% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.62% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.33% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.67% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 49.52%
Draw 25.91%
Watford 24.55%
Southampton
1-0 @ 13.23% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 4.19% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.22% (-0.02)
Total : 49.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 25.91%
Watford
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.3% (+0.01)
Total : 24.55%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 1' goal
  • Che Adams 20' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 74' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 90'+9' goal
  • goal Ryan Porteous 34'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Cleverley 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 55'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 70'
  • goal Ismael Kone 85'
FA Cup
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 21' yellowcard
  • Tyler Obling 51' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 52' goal
  • Sekou Mara 58' goal
  • Che Adams 76' goal
  • Samuel Edozie 86' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Morris 46'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 69'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 75'
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Matheus Martins 5' goal
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Holgate 4'
  • yellowcard Carlos Alcaraz 40'
  • goal Stuart Armstrong 89'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ryan Porteous 59' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 61' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 87' yellowcard
  • Rhys Healey 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 34'
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 45'
  • goal Che Adams 56'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 87'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+3'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT