Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Shea Emmanuel Charles 38' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 67' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 67' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 70' goal
  • Nathan Wood 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Kjerrumgaard 63'
  • yellowcard Saba Goglichidze 70'
  • yellowcard Formose Mendy 85'
  • yellowcard Jérémy Pétris 85'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 86'

Southampton vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
Stoke 0 - 2 Southampton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Hull City 0 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Luca Kjerrumgaard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.87% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 49.58% (+0.06)
Draw 25.87% (-0.06)
Watford 24.52% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.67% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 29.33% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 45.92% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.08% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 24.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.57% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.38% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.62% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Southampton 34.71% (-0.40)
Draw 41.51% (+0.65)
Watford 23.78% (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Southampton 51.67% (+0.58)
No Goal 9.1% (-0.05)
Watford 39.23% (-0.54)

Corners

Over 8 65.19% (+0.24)
Equal 8 10.62% (-0.05)
Under 8 24.19% (-0.19)
Over 9 53.69% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.5% (-0.01)
Under 9 34.81% (-0.23)
Over 10.5 42.31% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 57.69% (-0.25)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 43.5% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 56.5% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.62% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 81.38% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.25%
Under 3.5 93.75%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 56.62% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.38% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.2% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.61% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.39% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 49.57%
Draw 25.87%
Watford 24.52%
Southampton
1-0 @ 13.22% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.08% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 6.22%
Total : 49.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 25.87%
Watford
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.28% (-0.03)
Total : 24.52%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 1' goal
  • Che Adams 20' goal
  • Ryan Fraser 74' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 90'+9' goal
  • goal Ryan Porteous 34'
  • yellowcard Wesley Hoedt 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Cleverley 41'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 55'
  • yellowcard Edo Kayembe 70'
  • goal Ismael Kone 85'
FA Cup
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 21' yellowcard
  • Tyler Obling 51' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 52' goal
  • Sekou Mara 58' goal
  • Che Adams 76' goal
  • Samuel Edozie 86' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Morris 46'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 69'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 75'
FA Cup
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Matheus Martins 5' goal
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Holgate 4'
  • yellowcard Carlos Alcaraz 40'
  • goal Stuart Armstrong 89'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ryan Porteous 59' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 61' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 87' yellowcard
  • Rhys Healey 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Shea Charles 34'
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 45'
  • goal Che Adams 56'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 87'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+3'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT