Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 31.11% and a draw has a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).