Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 35.35% and a draw has a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 1-0 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).