Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Swansea 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Demarai Gray

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Stoke 0 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw has a probability of 23.02% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.39%) , while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result

Birmingham City 61.15% (-0.47)
Draw 23.02% (+0.13)
Stoke City 15.86% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.98% (+0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.81% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 28.19% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 47.04% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 52.96% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 25.47% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 74.53% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 15.23% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.77% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 44.48% (+0.01)
Draw 37.96%
Stoke City 17.55% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 62.02% (+0.17)
No Goal 8.18% (-0.22)
Stoke City 29.8% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 62.92% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.21%
Under 8 25.87% (-0.02)
Over 9 51% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.08% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 39.42% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 60.58% (-0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 52.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.6% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 25.12% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 74.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.95% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.05% (+0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 48.79% (+1.00)
Under 0.5 51.21% (-1.00)
Over 1.5 17.22% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 82.78% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 4.39% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 95.61% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 0.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.04% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 61.14%
Draw 23.02%
Stoke City 15.86%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.33)
2-0 @ 12.14% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 10.19% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.69% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.24% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.05)
Other @ 9.94% (-0.04)
Total : 61.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 3.86% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.02%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 5.75% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 4.07% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 2.24% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.95% (+0.02)
Total : 15.86%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Jordan Thompson 70' goal
  • Lynden Gooch 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Stansfield 10'
  • goal Juninho Bacuna 49'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 5.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Koji Miyoshi 12' yellowcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 33' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 69' goal
  • goal Jordan Thompson 12'
  • goal Lynden Gooch 31'
  • yellowcard Andre Vidigal 34'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 51'
  • goal Andre Vidigal 53'
  • yellowcard Joon-Ho Bae 83'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Championship Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Lewis Baker 75' goal
  • goal Scott Hogan 13'
  • goal Harlee Dean 67'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyrese Campbell 25' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 52' goal
  • goal Jordan James 12'
  • goal Gary Gardner 58'