Championship Gameweek 28
Southampton
Jan 21, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Sheff Utd
  • Leonardo Weschenfelder-Scienza 7' goal
  • Leo Scienza 7' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 61' yellowcard
  • Jay Robinson 78' yellowcard
  • Shea Charles 78' yellowcard
  • Ryan Manning 78' yellowcard
  • Shea Emmanuel Charles 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Wood 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Bamford 59'
  • yellowcard Andre Brookes 60'
  • yellowcard Andre Brooks 60'
  • yellowcard Femi Seriki 66'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Hamer 66'
  • yellowcard 79'
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 79'

Southampton vs Sheffield United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 0 Hull City
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Sheffield United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Charlton 0 - 0 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Patrick Bamford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-2 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 41.61% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 23.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Sheffield United 34.44% ▲ (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.92% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 18.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 59.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 40.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 36.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.14% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 78.86% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Southampton 29.58% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 39.91% ▼ (-0.67)
Sheffield United 30.5% ▲ (+0.43)

Team To Score First

Southampton 44.72% ▼ (-0.31)
No Goal 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Sheffield United 50.36% ▲ (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 65.42% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 10.04% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 8 24.54% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 54.56% ▼ (-0.34)
Equal 9 10.86% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 34.58% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 43.74% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 10.5 56.26% ▲ (+0.42)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 45.45% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 54.55% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 21.24% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 78.76% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 7.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.1% ▲ (+0.09)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5 70.64% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 29.36% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 39.26% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 60.74% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 2.5 16.48% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 83.52% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 5.48% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 94.52% ▼ (-0.14)

Score analysis

Southampton 41.61%
Draw 23.89%
Sheffield United 34.45%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 41.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.89%
Sheffield United
1-2 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 34.45%

Head to Head

Championship
Sheff Utd
Sep 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
EFL Cup
Sheff Utd
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET Bramall Lane
Southampton
  • Enda Stevens 8' goal
  • Oli McBurnie 32' yellowcard
  • Oli McBurnie 66' goal
  • goal Ibrahima Diallo 23'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 33'
  • goal Mohammed Salisu 53'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Sheff Utd
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Southampton
  • Ethan Ampadu 31' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 36' yellowcard
  • John Fleck 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Oli McBurnie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 32'
  • goal Che Adams 49'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 59'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 71'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Southampton
Dec 13, 2020 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sheff Utd
  • Che Adams 34' goal
  • Stuart Armstrong 62' goal
  • Nathan Redmond 83' goal
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 28'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Southampton
Jul 26, 2020 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Sheff Utd
  • Che Adams 50' goal
  • Che Adams 71' goal
  • Danny Ings 84' goal
  • goal John Lundstram 26'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sheff Utd
Sep 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • John Fleck 65' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 51'
  • goal Moussa Djenepo 66'

Form Data

Southampton 0 - 0 Hull City
Doncaster 0 - 0 Southampton
Middlesbrough 4 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 0 - 0 Millwall
Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Southampton
Charlton 0 - 0 Sheff Utd
Sheff Utd 0 - 0 Mansfield
Sheff Utd 3 - 1 Leicester
Stoke 1 - 2 Sheff Utd
Wrexham 5 - 3 Sheff Utd
Sheff Utd 3 - 0 Birmingham