Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2026 7.45pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Sheffield United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 0 Hull City
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Sheffield United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Charlton 0 - 0 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Patrick Bamford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Sheffield United has a probability of 34.66% and a draw has a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Sheffield United win is 1-2 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).

Result

Southampton 41.58% (-0.46)
Draw 23.77% (+0.13)
Sheffield United 34.66% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.88% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.07% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 18.93% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 59.8% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 40.2% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 36.02% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 63.98% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 21.03% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 78.97% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Southampton 28.88% (+0.01)
Draw 39.72% (-1.39)
Sheffield United 31.39% (+1.38)

Team To Score First

Southampton 44.25% (-0.36)
No Goal 4.93% (+0.14)
Sheffield United 50.82% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 68.88% (+2.70)
Equal 8 9.97% (-0.38)
Under 8 21.15% (-2.33)
Over 9 57.76% (+2.86)
Equal 9 11.12% (-0.17)
Under 9 31.12% (-2.70)
Over 10.5 46.42% (+2.79)
Under 10.5 53.59% (-2.78)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 45.29% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 54.71% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 21.12% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 78.88% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 7.88% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 92.12% (-0.18)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5 70.93% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 29.07% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 39.16% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 60.84% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 16.69% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.31% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.54% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.46% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Southampton 41.57%
Draw 23.78%
Sheffield United 34.66%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.26)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.09)
Other @ 7.62% (+0.21)
Total : 41.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.93% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.03)
Total : 23.78%
Sheffield United
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.35)
0-1 @ 6.69% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 4.7% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.52%
Other @ 5.28% (+0.13)
Total : 34.66%

Head to Head

Championship
Sep 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET Bramall Lane
  • Enda Stevens 8' goal
  • Oli McBurnie 32' yellowcard
  • Oli McBurnie 66' goal
  • goal Ibrahima Diallo 23'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 33'
  • goal Mohammed Salisu 53'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ethan Ampadu 31' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 36' yellowcard
  • John Fleck 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Oli McBurnie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 32'
  • goal Che Adams 49'
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 59'
  • yellowcard Stuart Armstrong 71'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Dec 13, 2020 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Che Adams 34' goal
  • Stuart Armstrong 62' goal
  • Nathan Redmond 83' goal
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 28'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Che Adams 50' goal
  • Che Adams 71' goal
  • Danny Ings 84' goal
  • goal John Lundstram 26'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Fleck 65' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 51'
  • goal Moussa Djenepo 66'