Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.